Aug 21

commentary

I think there’s a lot of truth in Linus Torvald’s derisive comment about innovation, and the software industry’s fetish with it.

I think that “innovation” is a four-letter word in the industry. It should never be used in polite company. It’s become a PR thing to sell new versions with.

It was Edison who said “1% inspiration, 99% perspiration”. That may have been true a hundred years ago. These days it’s “0.01% inspiration, 99.99% perspiration”, and the inspiration is the easy part. As a project manager, I have never had trouble finding people with crazy ideas. I have trouble finding people who can execute. IOW, “innovation” is way oversold. And it sure as hell shouldn’t be applied to products like MS Word or Open office.

Amen. Looking around the industry, there’s very little “innovation” going on. The
iPhone’s interface? Sure. Vista (or, for that matter, Apple’s
Leopard)? Nah.

These are incremental technology advances backed by good execution. Microsoft isn’t Microsoft because it makes “innovative” technology. It’s Microsoft because it tends to keep the trains running on time.

Microsoft’s problem now isn’t innovation on the web. I have little doubt that its online services are as good, or nearly so, as Google’s. It’s that it doesn’t seem to know how to execute a web-centric business.

In open source, we need more talented executors to achieve dominance. Sure, we can innovate, but that’s not really the point.

Aug 21

“That would be a new category” of SLR for Pentax, he said, but was mum on further details.

Pentax is probably the most notable DNG adopter, though others include Ricoh and now Epson with its super-high-speed camera. However, DNG still plays second fiddle among Pentax photographers to the older PEF format, Carlson said. “Most people are shooting PEF,” he said.

(Credit:
Pentax)

Obviously, that statement leaves a lot of room for maneuvering and interpretation, but it’s still a notable reflection of the company’s ambitions. Pentax also must reckon with some powerful competitors with high-end models–not just market leaders Canon and Nikon, but also well-funded newcomers such as Sony, which plans to release a professional-grade SLR this year.

One way Pentax could head toward higher-end SLRs would be to follow Canon and Nikon with models whose image sensor is the size of a full frame of 35mm film. Most digital SLRs, including all of Pentax’s, employ a smaller “APS-C”-sized sensors that are cheaper to make. Larger sensors offer the promise of greater sensitivity because pixels are larger, and for 35mm film buffs, lenses give the same field of view as they did with film.

But don’t expect a full-frame Pentax, at least for the time being, Carlson said. Asked whether it was in the plans, he said, “At this point I would say no. The lenses are designed for the APS-C format,” Carlson said. However, he qualified his remarks with a disclaimer: “What will happen in two years? Who knows.”

Pentax, like Canon, Nikon, Fujifilm, and Olympus, is a traditional camera maker facing new competition from consumer-electronics powers such as Sony and Panasonic. Sony got a leg up in the SLR market by acquiring the assets of Konica Minolta, and Panasonic has a partnership with Olympus and Leica. Another electronics giant now selling SLRs, Samsung, bases its products on Pentax cameras.

Pentax announced its K20D last week and is showing it off this week at the Photo Marketing Association trade show here. The 14.6-megapixel model includes features such as 11-point autofocus, sensor-shift image stabilization, ISO up to 6,400, and seals to keep out dust and water.

LAS VEGAS–Pentax just announced its new flagship SLR camera, the K20D, but the Japanese company has plans on the drawing board for a higher-end class of camera in 2009.

SLR (single-lens reflex) cameras offer higher image quality and interchangeable lenses, but they’re more expensive and bulkier. SLR sales are growing faster than the overall digital camera market, so it’s no surprise camera makers are fighting for dominance–especially because the market is in flux.

Pentax's K20D is the company's new top-end SLR.

One interesting feature in Pentax SLRs is support for the Digital Negative (DNG) raw-image format, which is Adobe Systems’ attempt to curtail the cacophony of proprietary raw image formats. Raw images provide more quality but require manual processing into something handy such as JPEG, and different SLR models typically have their own proprietary formats today.

On the Pentax roadmap for 2009, the SLR quality arrow jumps up “much higher” above the K20D–a bigger step up than the one from the K10D to the K20D–said John Carlson, Pentax’s product manager for imaging systems.

Aug 20

The 22-inch NEC Multisync EA221WM is the greenest display I've ever encountered. Which isn't saying much, unfortunately.

The display ships in September for a street price of $389.99.

(Credit:
NEC)

So, thank you NEC for making me look bad. I guess I didn’t have to mention my new TV, but did so in the interest of full disclosure. Along that track I do own a hybrid
car. Good for me!

NEC is touting this as a premium enterprise display that boasts a 5ms pixel response time, a viewing angle of 176 degrees, and a contrast ratio of 1000:1.

By running the monitor in NEC’s ECO mode, users are able to lower their power consumption. The monitor also features a built-in carbon footprint meter that’s able to calculate and track the carbon savings of the display.

I bought a new LCD TV last week and didn’t once think about how its energy output could affect the environment. I was just focused on getting the best TV I could afford. I’m not even sure if large-screen LCDs can be environmentally compatible. I’ll have to do some research on my new TV when I get home, but at least NEC is attempting to give us options.

NEC also designed the display with its green hat on. They registered the EA221WM as EPEAT Gold, which requires that it be Energy Star-compliant. As such, the display should cut back on its own greenhouse gas emissions by 20 to 30 percent.

Other features include the following:

1,680×1,050 resolution (WSXGA) 250 cd/m? brightness Four-way adjustable stand (110mm height, tilt, swivel, pivot) Down-firing speakers with headphone jack Four-port USB 2.0 hub HDCP via DVI HDMI-compatible via adapter NaViKey screen-setting adjustment Dynamic Video Mode with five settings Built-in carrying handle Cable-management cover

On Wednesday, NEC announced the 22-inch MultiSync EA221WM wide-screen LCD monitor. This is the second monitor in the company’s MultiSync EA series, the first being its 26-inch EA261WM, which was released in June.

Aug 19

(Credit:
CNET Networks)

Monday marks the official kickoff of iPhone Month within the Apple universe, although some would argue it started long ago. Apple is expected to release a faster iPhone with additional features perhaps as early as next week, and new software and applications should be out by the end of the month.

John Gruber of Daring Fireball has assembled a list of evidence that Apple is holding onto the domain, with the likely scenario that the company wants to launch a new Internet service. The domain is currently held by a company called MarkMonitor, but the administrator of Me.com bears an Apple e-mail address. Last month, Network World noticed that Apple had snapped up a bunch of Montenegro’s new Web addresses, such as apple.me and itunes.me, and the company trademarked the term “MobileMe” a few years ago.

It’s hard to believe that no one in the “Me Generation” beat them to it, but Apple has apparently registered Me.com as a possible replacement for its .Mac service.

Mac users appear to be intrigued by the idea of extending .Mac’s syncing features to their iPhones, allowing them to access files and resources stored on their home Macs via the iPhone. This could be an interesting opportunity for Apple to get iPhone buyers on the Mac train, and to entice current Mac users to obtain an iPhone.

Apple’s $99-a-year .Mac service is not all that popular among the Mac community mostly because of its price tag, even though it makes Web publishing and online storage fairly easy with tight links to its iLife software. But the big opportunity these days for .Mac could be related to the
iPhone.

Could Me.com be Apple's portal linking the iPhone and the Mac?

A new .Mac service would be an afterthought to the 3G iPhone as well as any news about Mac OS X 10.6 that might arrive during Steve Jobs’ keynote speech next week at the Worldwide Developers Conference, but it bears watching.

Aug 16

(Credit:
Corinne Schulze/CNET Networks)

It’s summertime and things are heating up, and we don’t necessarily mean the temperature (because it certainly isn’t very hot here in San Francisco, but I digress). No, we’re talking more about rise in smartphone rumors, which isn’t uncommon for this time of year as the carrier’s start prepping for the fall and holiday seasons. As such, the blogosphere is blowing up with speculation, and looks like there’s something for every carrier. Now, we must reiterate that these are just rumors and obviously, the service providers and device manufacturers haven’t confirmed anything, so take it for what it’s worth. That being said, here’s the dish.

Verizon Wireless and Sprint: According to Phone Arena, both CDMA carriers will be getting their own variations of the HTC Touch Diamond and the HTC Touch Pro. Unfortunately, no time frame was given as to when Sprint and Verizon might land these puppies. Both are also rumored to get the Palm Treo 800w, and while we’re on the subject of Palm, who, oh who, will get the Palm Treo 850?

T-Mobile: Frankly, T-Mobile’s been pretty quiet on the smartphone releases lately. Aside from the Limited Edition Tony Hawk Sidekick 3 and the occasional BlackBerry here and there, nothing major has come out of the carrier. However, it looks like TMO is gearing up to offer an upgrade to the T-Mobile Shadow. It appears the Windows Mobile 6.1 smartphone will have a curvier design and continue to offer integrated Wi-Fi with added support for the T-Mobile’s HotSpot@Home service. The Shadow II has an expected ship date of August. No word yet on whether there will be update to the T-Mobile Wing, but for those who care, there’s apparently a new T-Mobile Sidekick, codenamed Gekko/Aspen, in the works.

AT&T: I know it may be hard for some of you to believe, but there are people who don’t want the Apple iPhone 3G, which is fine because if these rumors are to be believed, there are plenty of solid smartphones coming down the pipeline. According to Gizmodo (via Gear Diary), AT&T is expected to release the Wi-Fi-enabled RIM BlackBerry Curve 8320 and the RIM BlackBerry Bold in Q3. We actually followed up with RIM earlier this week to see if we could squeeze a more specific availability date for the Bold, and all we got is “availability is scheduled for summer 2008.” Super, thanks. Anyway, Windows Mobile 6.1 upgrades are also due for the Samsung BlackJack II, AT&T Tilt, and Motorola Q9h in July and the Pantech Duo in October.

HTC Touch Diamond headed to Sprint and Verizon?

If you want more than a software upgrade, the Samsung BlackJack 3, Pantech Duo 2, and AT&T Tilt 2 (which the Boy Genius Report says will most likely be the HTC Touch Pro) are slated for a Q4 release, as well as a non-QWERTY mystery LG device. Finally, Nicole Lee reported yesterday that the Samsung Omnia may just be headed to AT&T as well.

Aug 16

“As far as the range of emotions, it depends on the individual person’s goals for the company. If the company is you, it’s one approach. If it’s purely a business, another. If you have goals outside of the office, another.”

Mitch Kapor

This is the part where you’re supposed to intone that it’s not personal. (Cue The Godfather theme.) Yahoo’s co-founders had their numbers crunchers nearby, but listening to Microsoft’s blustering CEO belittle their demand to put a higher price on their life’s work, could it really remain all business?

This is why so much high-priced talent on Wall Street gladly volunteers to play the role of the dedicated heavy–if that’s what it takes to fetch the best price–in any negotiation.

You’re sitting in a conference room negotiating the sale of your company, still haggling at the 11th hour over a price. But wait: Should you even be there to begin with?

Marc Fleury, the creator of JBoss, an open-source Java application server, sold his company to Red Hat in 2006 for $350 million in cash and stock. On the surface, at least, he had no problem hearing that Yahoo’s co-founders sat in the room for one last meeting.

Maybe so, but Cuban also allowed that the emotional ups and downs involved in finalizing a sale will vary depending upon who’s doing the negotiating.

Crunch time will do that. And for lot of founders, he says, it calls into question what they want out of the company in terms of a legacy.

(Credit:
Mitch Kapor)

Jerry Yang and David Filo apparently thought so. They flew up to Seattle last weekend to meet Steve Ballmer and Kevin Johnson at the Sea-Tac airport in a failed last-ditch attempt to reach a deal with Microsoft.

Scott Heiferman

“I would suspect that Jerry Yang was thinking about the legacy that is Yahoo in the long term,” he said. “The importance of any company to (a founder) should give you the guts to say, ‘No, that isn’t the right deal.’ In other words, it means something to you. It’s not just a notch on a bed post for some investment banker.”

That still may not be enough to shield Yang and Filo from getting an earful from investors unhappy about losing Microsoft’s buyout offer. Then again, most of them never were faced with the sale of a company they started.

“That’s part of the sales pitch of the investment bankers. They say, let them be the bad guy,” says Scott Heiferman, the founder of Fotolog (bought last year by France-based Hi-Media Group for a combination of cash and stock worth $90 million) as well as iTraffic one of the first online ad agencies, which was sold to Agency.com for about $50 million in stock and cash.

“At some point in the discussion,” he continued, “the principals do have to sit down for a private conversation. But that neither ought to be the main flow of things or the final definitive meeting. These companies are too big and there are too many points of view to consider. If you’re not fully embracing everyone on your side, you’re probably not making the best decision.”

“I don’t think that was the mistake,” he said. “However, deals are finicky because so much depends on people. You are looking at a random sequence of events with a random output, where all the emotions come in. It is not a mistake; it is just the nature of the beast. Deals are ’stochastic’ and not just the result of well thought- out machines.”

Are you serious? “Your life’s work? That is easily the stupidest thing you could (do). (Yang and Filo) did the exact right thing sitting with Steve.”

“It’s too big of an issue, too big of a decision to make as a founder,” said Mitch Kapor, who founded Lotus Development Corp., which was sold to IBM in 1995. “The CEO makes the ultimate recommendation to the board of directors, but it’s not like selling something on eBay.”

(Credit:
Meetup.com)

Mark Cuban

Marc Cuban, who sold Broadcast.com to Yahoo in 1999 for $4.9 billion in stock, says that the range of emotions will hinge on myriad factors. But in an e-mail exchange, Cuban had a black-and-white reaction to any suggestion the give-and-take should get left to a trusted lieutenant.

(Credit:
CNET)

“But there’s nothing necessarily wrong with a (founder) who has perspective,” added Heiferman, who is also co-founder and CEO of Meetup.com. “You’ve got a vested interest so why shouldn’t you have a principal at the table? Still, I do understand the argument that it might be too loaded for you with not seeing clearly because of all the blood, sweat, and tears that went into the company.”

Aug 16

Microsoft is aiming to give software developers the same kind of access. In the next version of its developer tool suite, to be known as Visual Studio 2010, Microsoft plans to include the ability to record the full screens of what testers are seeing, as well as data about their machine. When a test application crashes, the technology will enable developers to see the bug as it occurred.

Airplanes are equipped with recorders that capture both cockpit audio and flight data, so in the event that something goes wrong, investigators can try to determine the source of the problem.

Visual Studio Team System 2010 will offer tools for managing test cases and execution, and will boost support for filing actionable bugs.

Updated 9:56 a.m. PDT:
Added screen shot and a link to Microsoft’s Visual Studio 2010 page.

Although the feature is initially only aimed at in-house testers, a similar feature could one day find its way into broader testing, potentially even into Microsoft beta products. “I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see this become a way that we do beta management, going forward,” Mendlen said.

Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates talked about adding a “black box” to Windows (without the video-recording ability, though). Microsoft later said it wasn’t broadly expanding the “Watson” error-reporting capabilities beyond the kinds of data it already had been collecting. It was never totally clear as to what Gates was referring to.

Microsoft offered scant other details about Visual Studio 2010 and the .Net Framework 4.0. It’s a safe bet that better support for cloud-based services will be included, though. “That is certainly an area that Visual Studio and the .Net Framework will have to address,” Mendlen said. “As we enable service-based technologies, of course we will have to tool it.”

(Credit:
Microsoft)

The Redmond giant is not the only company looking to transfer the TiVo notion to software development. A company called Replay Solutions launched a product in June for enterprise Java applications.

The company is also talking about new modeling tools it says will make it easier for programmers new to a team to get a sense of how earlier versions of the software work. One of the other goals is to add more business intelligence tools–things like dashboards and cockpits–that enable the project managers to assess whether a development project is on track. “The guys that are paying the bills often get very little info,” Mendlen said.

“I can tell you it won’t ship in 2011,” he said.

A Microsoft representative did say that “the two technologies are not related and that in Visual Studio Team System the ‘black box’ is only on testers machines and only turned on when the tester decides it should be turned on.”

Mendlen said it is expected to ship in fiscal year 2010 (which runs through June 2010).

Speaking of 2005, that same year, a pair of Canadian developers created a Visual Studio 2010 concept, kicked around by a back in 2005. Since they were the first to mention Visual Studio 2010, I thought I would give them some link love.

Microsoft itself used the notion of a “black box” feature back in 2005.

Microsoft wouldn’t get too much into other features of the product, but it outlined a few broad areas where it is seeking to improve the product, including “enabling cloud computing” and “powering breakthrough departmental applications.”

In an interview last week, Microsoft Developer Division Director Dave Mendlen said the feature is designed to avoid the all-too-frequent conflict that occurs when a software tester finds a bug that the developer says it can’t reproduce. Internally, the feature has been called “TiVo for debuggers.”

Aug 16

“Our next release of Windows will be compatible with Vista. The key is let’s get on with it. We’ll be ready when you want to deploy Windows 7,” he added later.

And considering the fact that Windows 7 should be available sometime in the beginning of 2010 — a whopping year and a half from now — what would justify any buying decision on the part of a company or individual that would see them deploy Windows Vista instead of waiting for Windows 7?

“It’s not minor because it’s a lot more work than a minor release. It’s a major release,” he said. “Windows 7 will be Vista, but a lot better.”

Check out Don’s Digital Home podcast, Twitter feed, and FriendFeed.

For some odd reason, Microsoft is intentionally working against Vista and making it abundantly clear to anyone who will listen that the future of Windows is in Windows 7, not Windows Vista. And although Windows Vista may be an attractive alternative to those looking to buy a new computer, shouldn’t they take Microsoft at face value and realize that spending money on a new computer now is a waste of money if Windows 7 will be so fantastic?

“There’s a lot in Windows 7, and our goal is to produce fantastic PCs with our hardware partners” Ballmer told Walt Mossberg and Kara Swisher at D6.

I’m sure PC vendors like Dell, HP, Lenovo, and others will be happy to hear that. Those companies currently allow consumers that don’t want to use Vista to use the pre-installed Windows XP Professional on machines instead. Why? Because vendors realize that their customers simply aren’t happy with Vista and would rather work with an operating system that with the help of Service Pack 3, packs an even more appealing set of features that Vista running Service Pack 1.

I don’t know about you, but all I’ve heard from Microsoft lately is that Windows 7 will the savior that we’ve all been waiting for. After discussing Vista’s many compatibility and usability issues, Ballmer said at the Gartner event yesterday that Windows 7 would not only be a major release because of all the work Microsoft needs to put in to improve it over Vista, it’ll be much better than Vista.

Business are loath to switch and vendors are more than happy to offer XP. Ballmer says Windows 7 will be better than Vista and Bill Gates can’t stop talking about how wonderful the company’s next operating system will be. Microsoft puts Windows 7’s release date somewhere towards the beginning of 2010 and says that it’s OK if people want to wait for Windows 7 instead of opting for Windows Vista. Meanwhile, economic conditions continue to worsen and people aren’t as willing to spend money on expensive systems.

Speaking Thursday at Gartner’s Symposium/ITxpo conference in Orlando, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer told those in attendance that if people want to wait for
Windows 7 and leave Windows Vista to the suckers, that’s perfectly fine with him.

I guess we should do what it wants us to do. After all, it knows better than us, right?

Speaking of vendors, Ballmer, at the D6 conference earlier this year, said Microsoft would work closer with vendors with the release of Windows 7 and ensure that its hardware partners were releasing products that would compete on the same level with Apple.

I don’t understand this move on any level. Microsoft has always pimped its operating systems as much as possible to squeeze every last penny out of consumers and businesses. But as we get closer to Windows 7’s release, it’s becoming clear that it has abandoned that strategy with Vista and is instead trying to make its current operating system look like a bridge between XP and Windows 7, even though Vista is considered a major release.

The evidence seems overwhelming: Microsoft wants us to wait for Windows 7 and forget about Windows Vista.

“If people want to wait [for Windows 7] they really can,” he said. “But I’d definitely deploy Vista.

Heck, I’m sure many people and companies would have liked to deploy Windows Vista, but after hearing you, Bill Gates, and the rest of the Windows team discussing Windows 7, you’ve made our decision simple: let’s just wait for Microsoft’s new operating system and forgo Vista.

Well, Steve, I can’t help but agree with you on this one. Why not wait for Windows 7? All I’ve heard from the Microsoft camp over the past six months is how wonderful Windows 7 will be and that although its issues are being fixed, Windows Vista just won’t be able to stand up to the capabilities its follow-up will offer.

Aug 16

In spite of the economic slowdown, worldwide mobile-phone sales rose nearly 12 percent in the second quarter of 2008 from the same period in 2007, market research firm Gartner said Thursday.

The research firm has not changed its overall 2008 outlook of 1.28 billion handset sales.

In the United States and Canada, 6.5 percent year-over-year growth was driven largely by sales of replacement handsets, as new subscribers only trickled in, Gartner said. (Fellow research firm NPD Group, by contrast, reported earlier this month that U.S. mobile-phone sales were 13 percent down from the second quarter of 2007.)

Growth was driven largely by the Asia-Pacific region, in which sales grew 20.5 percent from the second quarter of 2007, and the Middle East and Africa, where handset sales increased 18 percent.

Gartner’s study did find a decrease in mobile-phone sales in Western Europe: down 8.2 percent down from the second quarter of 2007. And while the research firm forecasts 11 percent industrywide growth in 2008, it expects revenue growth to fall slightly behind that, as the economy and tougher competition take a toll on prices.

“The economic environment continued to negatively impact mobile-phone sales in both mature and emerging markets,” Gartner analyst Carolina Milanesi said in a release. “Consumers in mature markets continued to favor midtier devices over high-end devices, while new subscribers continued to join mobile networks in emerging markets during the quarter. However, replacement sales remained weak, as consumers faced higher prices for fuel and food, in addition to higher levels of inflation.”

Aug 16

EA, should it keep its tender offer alive, may have to add another extension beyond its July 18 deadline. That’s because it’s working on supplying the FTC with its requested information, at which point the FTC will then have 45 days to review it. If the FTC takes all 45 days, that would surpass EA’s new extension deadline which is now set to expire in 32 days.

EA, which is currently offering Take-Two investors $25.74 a share, said nearly 6.14 million shares have been tendered in, representing approximately 8 percent of Take-Two’s shares.

Electronic Arts announced Tuesday it was extending its tender offer for rival game developer Take-Two Interactive Software to July 18, marking its third extension since launching its hostile bid in March.

In early morning trading, Take-Two’s stock hovered at $26.35 per share.

Mahoney said its offer price is a “substantial premium” to where Take-Two’s stock traded at prior to its offer. Prior to going hostile with a tender offer directly to investors, EA had given Take-Two a bear hug by publicly announcing its unsolicited offer in February. Take-Two had closed at $17.36 a share, prior to EA’s public announcement of its unsolicited bid.

EA’s previous deadline for its tender offer was June 16, which came roughly a week after Take-Two reported better than expected quarterly earnings, thanks to its record-breaking launch of Grand Theft Auto IV.

“We congratulate Rockstar on the successful launch of GTA IV but believe our offer reflects a full and fair price based on the long-term value of Take-Two’s entire operation,” Owen Mahoney, EA senior vice president of corporate development, said in a statement.

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